In one new paper published on Wednesday
in the journal Nature, Dutch scientists predict that, by 2070, our
lifespan may increase to 125 years while beyond that, the sky may be the
limit.
To
prove a 125-year lifespan is possible, researchers from the Netherlands
Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute team began their study by
refuting the relationship between age & immortality posed by Benjamin
Gompertz.
This 19th-century mathematician pored over mortality data and
noticed that young people have a very low chance of dying. Yet, in
middle age, the chance of dying increases and then rises again
dramatically in old age.
This
exponential increase in the rate of human mortality has long been
accepted wisdom, yet the Dutch researchers decided to challenge it.
Instead of basing their work on data derived from the general
population, they used data from a group of people noted for their long
lives Japanese women. Using mathematical models, they claim mortality
goes down in old age and projected an astounding new human lifespan 125
years will be achieved by 2070.
In
their paper, Vijg explained that their analysis was based not on some
mathematical model that projected future data, but on "actual data" of
real human lives. They examined not one but two different data sets, and
what they observed was that, despite life expectancy being dramatically
higher than it was 100 years ago, the probability of anyone living for
more than 125 years was unlikely. "Initially, you see this increase
every year and you see this oldest record holder until the 1990s, and
then it stops," said Vijg. "Think about it, how strange it is." The
number of healthy centenarians increased dramatically every year. That
being the case, Vijg theorized "the supply is certainly there" to create
more record-breakers, every year, yet there were none.
8 comments:
they are absolutely right. in the 1950s, scientists and medical experts predicted that in the 2000s the human lifespan would have increased to as much as 80 - 90 years.
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now that is a clear reality as there are so many people in north america and europe that live up to that.
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issokai I will be here jejely waiting to see if it comes to pass 😆
Hmm.
If evil men will live that long dat mean say Wahala dey.
Okay o
... Merited happiness
No RareSpecie Z there won't be evil men, they will not live that long. They will all die one by one in Jesus name.
2070 me! Diz one wey dem de shout end time,end time;Jesus go don come na.
Oh No!!!!!! Dino and Bobrisky living up to 125 years? God help us in Nigeria.
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