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Saturday, 1 July 2017

Dutch scientists predict that, by 2070, lifespan may increase to 125 years

In one new paper published on Wednesday in the journal Nature, Dutch scientists predict that, by 2070, our lifespan may increase to 125 years while beyond that, the sky may be the limit. 

To prove a 125-year lifespan is possible, researchers from the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute team began their study by refuting the relationship between age & immortality posed by Benjamin Gompertz. 
This 19th-century mathematician pored over mortality data and noticed that young people have a very low chance of dying. Yet, in middle age, the chance of dying increases and then rises again dramatically in old age.

This exponential increase in the rate of human mortality has long been accepted wisdom, yet the Dutch researchers decided to challenge it. Instead of basing their work on data derived from the general population, they used data from a group of people noted for their long lives Japanese women. Using mathematical models, they claim mortality goes down in old age and projected an astounding new human lifespan 125 years will be achieved by 2070.

In their paper, Vijg explained that their analysis was based not on some mathematical model that projected future data, but on "actual data" of real human lives. They examined not one but two different data sets, and what they observed was that, despite life expectancy being dramatically higher than it was 100 years ago, the probability of anyone living for more than 125 years was unlikely. "Initially, you see this increase every year and you see this oldest record holder until the 1990s, and then it stops," said Vijg. "Think about it, how strange it is." The number of healthy centenarians increased dramatically every year. That being the case, Vijg theorized "the supply is certainly there" to create more record-breakers, every year, yet there were none.


Adrianne said...

they are absolutely right. in the 1950s, scientists and medical experts predicted that in the 2000s the human lifespan would have increased to as much as 80 - 90 years.

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now that is a clear reality as there are so many people in north america and europe that live up to that.

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Manuel Kunmi said...

issokai I will be here jejely waiting to see if it comes to pass 😆

RareSpecie Z said...

If evil men will live that long dat mean say Wahala dey.

NaijaDeltaBabe said...

Okay o

... Merited happiness

May said...

No RareSpecie Z there won't be evil men, they will not live that long. They will all die one by one in Jesus name.

Amos Mohammed said...

2070 me! Diz one wey dem de shout end time,end time;Jesus go don come na.

RareSpecie Z said...


Anonymous said...

Oh No!!!!!! Dino and Bobrisky living up to 125 years? God help us in Nigeria.

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